Yesterday as most of the world did , I watched the Petraeus report , I was waiting for the statistics , and if the statistics I saw are true then everything is working very well , and Iraq will be a very peaceful country very soon , what a surprise , am I living in Iraq or what?I'm not saying that the graphs and statistics are fake, but they are inaccurate , let's start with the statistics about civilian casualties ; first of all in this time of the year most Iraqis leave Iraq for a vacation as they have no college or schools so the parents can take a leave and go for some peaceful weeks in the neighboring countries , What i want to say is that Iraq is almost empty at this time of the year , so there are fewer numbers to die and as I said it's the summer holiday so even if they are in Iraq they wouldn't go out much , another thing is that there has been remodeling in the neighborhoods specially in Baghdad that means Sunnis live in Sunni neighborhoods now , so as Shiite. So there are few mix-sects neighborhoods now in addition to that , people realized the danger of going into another sect's area , even if they have some important things there they would send someone who is from the same sect to do the job , people live in their neighborhoods now , they don't live in Baghdad , that was another reason for the decline in the curve of the civilian casualties and sectarian violence .Also there is something I couldn't understand , how could they count the number of the dead civilians , explosions , attacks or the rate of sectarian violence?I'll take them one by one , let's start with count of dead civilians ; even if the count is right , twice the number of the dead are missing civilians and this is something every Iraqi knows ; when someone is missing for more than 3 months then he is surly dead , although he is not registered dead , I personally know many people like that , and even if he is dead and his family found his dead body and he was a Sunni they wouldn't go to register him dead because Al-mahdi Army controls the morgue in which they count the dead bodies and that would put his family's life in danger , I believe the count of dead bodies are not accurate .
Now let's see about the explosions , attacks and sectarian violence how could they count that? every day I hear explosions but they don't mention it , then sure they wouldn't count it , just like today , there were two loud explosions which I heard but no one said anything about it!
How could they count the attacks ? no one can do that ? and the sectarian violence is something that can't be counted no matter what the effort is , for example as the case of my family when they were threatened by Al-Qaeda first and then by Al-Mahdi Army , my father didn't go to police because they are corrupted , and they might be in the Mahdy-Army so he will jeopardise our lives if he did that.What my father did is what all the Iraqis do , this is the smartest thing to do , even in my case that I talked in my earliest post "I shouldn't be alive" I didn't report it , what I want to say is that sectarian violence can't be measured and even if I believed that the explosions and car bombs are less than before as the report said , I wouldn't believe that sectarian violence decreased no matter what graphs they show me , I live in Baghdad and I know it , it's the same if not getting higher.
But the withdrawal of the US troops specially in this time is not a good idea , that's what I think.
I join many people who are worried about the Iranian influence and control over Iraq after the US leaves , and as most of the people know that Iran already have a great influence and control over Iraq and Iraqi government. What will happen when the US troops leaves ? a massacre will happen because Ahmedi Najad have officially announced that Iran is ready to fill the gap that the US troops will leave behind???!!! he is ready to invade Iraq!.
But I agree with general Petraeus when he talked about the success in the Anbar province , I know it's not completely safe but it can't be compared to what it used to be and it's way better than Baghdad , that's what I have been hearing and what I have seen by my self on my way to Syria , the Anbar council controlled things well , and as Petraeus said it's a model and can't be used in all parts of Iraq . Anbar never suffered from sectarian violence because it's populated by Sunnis only and most of who lives there are from certain tribes that has been there for ages , what I want to say is that peace can be brought to Anbar a lot more easier than Baghdad if it's people decided to have peace.
There was something that really annoyed me ,most of the time he talked about Al-Qaida like it's the only enemy for Iraqis and Americans as well , and like it's the only thing that destroys Iraq every day , what about Al-Mahdi Army?what About Badir Brigade who killed two of my friends? what about the Islamic Army in Iraq? what about all the other sectarian militias? why don't the US troops arrest Moqtada Al-Sadir ? his militia is killing the Iraqis and attacking the US troops , why isn't he arrested? this is the question that I really want someone to answer it.

Today is 11th of September , I'd like to give my condolences to the familes of the casualties of the terrorism attacks , and I want them to know that we know exactly how do they feel , and I'd like to remind all the people of the world that every day large numbers of civilians die in Iraq by the terrorists just because they are not of them , Iraqis are the daily victim of terrorism . when the US government invaded Iraq by the name of war against terrorism and caused this loss of security which attracted the terrorists to Iraq (there was no presence for Al-Qaeda or any other terrorist organization in Iraq before the war) and caused daily Iraqi casualties along with the American people (soldiers) casualties , so it's clear that they didn't fix the problem or protected there people , they only made the problem bigger.and if the troops leave now , the problem will go bigger .





40 comments:
I watched the hearings, also. I think Patraeus said Sadr is in Iran. I've also read he claims to be in Najaf. Either way, who is going to arrest him in those places? Thanks for explaining things from an Iraqi perspective.
he might be in Iran(for me , I wish he is in hell) , najaf is in Iraq can't they get him? what about before , why didn't they do that? what about his political mass?
All good questions that I can't answer. They went after him in the beginning and then it got called off after the invasion of Sadr City. Najaf may be in Iraq, but who really controls Najaf? Maliki got elected with Sadr's backing, so it would seem he got special treatment, at least in the beginning of Maliki's term in office. That relationship seems to have soured since then. I have to agree that he is a wild card in Iraq that we will come to regret not having dealt with when he emerged as a leader.
You reached a very good conclusion LJM , the big mistake was not taking him down when he started his army (it wasn't strong like now) but this mistke has to be corrected so that things will settle and troops can get back to their homes , the other thing is that the current Iraqi government is sectarian.
A wrong ID, a wrong turn can mean death, by Ghaith Abdul-Ahad, Guardian, Tuesday 11 Sept 2007
Gaith is a friend of the first Iraqi blogger, "Salam Pax". He writes for the Guardian and is also a contributor photographer for Getty Images. He managed to report and send pictures from behind the insurgent lines in Fallujah. His Guardian profile is here. He is currently based in Lebanon.
Here is a report in the Independent newspaper, by Kim Sengupta, 11 Sept 2007, which echoes what Mohammed has written here.
The view from Baghdad: Mounting death toll which makes a mockery of US optimism
In Baghdad, on the surface the overt violence appears to have diminished. There are fewer loud explosions. But, the city is now being partitioned by sectarian hatred and fear; by concrete walls and barbed wire. Claims that the US military strategy is paving the way for a stable society bear little resemblance to the reality on the ground.
The US is accused of manipulating figures relating to violence to fit their case, ignoring evidence which shows that the influx of 30,000 troops has done little to end the continuing bloodshed.
Iraqis are suffering unbearably.
Today, the general and ambassador are appearing before the senate committee. They are getting a harder time than they did yesterday.
Syria struggles with Iraqi influx BBC 11 Sept 2007
Some 2,000 arrive each day as the exodus from Iraq continues, four years after the US and British invasion. ... With the massive loss of trained and educated people from Iraq, many fear it could even further set back Iraq's chances. ... many refugee children are not getting an education. ... A lucky few, the children of richer Iraqi families, do have opportunities. We visited a private university set up by an Iraqi businessman where more than half the students are Iraqis.
In the engineering department, Mohammed told me he planned to study next in Europe for a master's degree. Eventually he wants to be an oil engineer, "but not in Iraq", he says firmly.
It is all part of a catastrophic brain drain. ... no sign of the sectarian tensions still tearing parts of Iraq apart.
"All Iraqis live here together," he says. "Shia, Sunni, even Christians."
I really love your blog. You don't pull punches, and you give a unique perspective, because you are, above all, an Iraqi. Your quest for peace and normalcy, prosperity and all that we, here in the US, often take for granted, lets us read about Iraq, without any sectarian junk, and without the baggage of an agenda.
Muqtada is a blood thirsty control freak...
(before I continue, just curious, there seems to be a LOT of dentists in Iraq. Why are his teeth so bad?)
We should have taken Muq out when there was a warrant out for his arrest for murder, way back when. But the Iraqi gov't tied our hands, and we were caught between knowing it was right to take him out, but wanted the Iraqi gov't to do their job. Frankly, in that case (and all the others where the Iraqi gov't officials protected Muq), I think we should have just done what needed done.
Unfortunately, America really doesn't work that way. It's unfortunate for us, but mostly for Iraqis.
Baghdad is going to be the toughest row to hoe. Muq and his thugs are deeply entrenched, and unlike AQI, they have the support of the people whose neighborhoods they patrol. Combine Muq and friends with AQI and Baghdad is a harsh place to live, and will be incredibly difficult to bring to order.
I don't think the Anbar Model would work the same way it did in Anbar. But I DO think individual neighborhoods could implement the neighborhood watches and help the US and Iraqi troops ferret out the bad guys.
Once the individual neighborhoods were brought under control of the rule of law and a nationalistic spirit, that would tend to push Muq's nuts tighter into their own neighborhoods, and then that would make it a bit easier for the US and Iraqi troops to bear down on the Muq gangs.
I would wager that Muq and his army *choke cough* will not go down without a fight. So if I was leading the charge, I'd target the smaller groups one at a time, and take him out toward the end (rather than take him out first and have all radical terrorist hell break loose on Baghdad).
I pray that peace and stability will come to you soon, and pray the Iraqi people have the strength they will need to get them there. I also pray for the US Marines and Soldiers, that they can help bring the peace and reconciliation that is necessary for Iraq to be the greatest country in the ME.
I love your blog too, Mohammed. Your honesty and decency shine through every word.
I've been wondering if there is any hope that people like you and your wife can move to Anbar if thinks remain so dangerous in Baghdad and you remain unable to leave the country. Would you be welcome, even if you are not from one of the traditional area tribes? I remember when Zeyad was sent to a village down south several years ago to complete his training. Does the government still control where dentists are assigned to work?
Bridget
You guys are going to have to hold on until elections in '09. Your government sucks,but it's the one you elected. The U.S. can only do so much. We can hang in there if you can though.
What is bad about Iran is, Iran was on the path to reformism when the government legally blocked out thousands of reformists from Parliament, meaning that the conservatives and Ahmedi Najad ruled.
You guys are going to have to hold on until elections in '09. Your government sucks, but it's the one your supreme court elected.
I'm very happy that you love my blog.
Well Bridget , Anbar is relatively safe now but no one is sure that this situation is permenant , and it's hard to live there if you are not from any of the tribes , yes the government still controlls where dentists should go , but we can choose between a number of proviences , I'll choose Anbar for sure , it's much easier for me to work in.
Mohammed,
Your blog is in Slate magazine. :)
Okay, to get to a few of the points you raised...
Always remember that our forces are constantly detonating weapons caches. So all explosions may not be the result of car bombs or explosive belts.
Believe me they track all sorts of statistics. I would not be surprised at all to find those types of incidents down. Where they have been working now was designed to try to alleviate that problem. Which is why you have seen Petraeus focus on Al-Qaida in his testimony. They are primarily responsible for these types of things.
You made a good point about alot of Iraqis being out of the country during the summer months. And this could account for some of the lower casualties. But the car bombs were also a large factor, I think. You look at the number of killed in the Yazidi attack for example. A huge number that could have been spared if the car bomb factories were neutrilized.
You are right on the splitting of the neighborhood's along sectarian lines possibly being a factor also in lower casualties. And this is certainly a concern. But if it will help people to cool off a little, maybe reintegration will gradually occur. This is where political reconciliation is so crucial. This is something Iraqis have to do. We can only try to help and maybe prod a little.
Regarding the Iranian issue, I think they understand that problem and are working on something for that as well. The start of which is targeting elements of JAM who have been working with the Iranians. They have also been targeting those who have been involved in the sectarian killings(of course, these two groups may overlap). Oh, no, I don't think an invasion of Iran is in the cards, btw. In case I gave you that idea.
The drawdown of US troops will occur as the Iraqi forces become more capable. And if Petraeus is saying July 2008 then I think he is comfortable with how this is going.
People in Baghdad have been saying they think security is worse there. That may have something to do with the shifting of areas of operations(AO) for Iraqi forces during this part of the surge. Not all are as cabable as others yet.
Sorry this is so long. But I wanted to try to reassure you that there was a reason for Petraeus's optimism and I don't think he was just blowing smoke. :)
Having said that, of course, nothing is a sure thing at all. This could still go either way.
anon, did the Bush government really do that during the elections in Iran? If they did, it figures it would backfire. I'm sure they wouldn't have wanted Ahmadinejad to win. As for the election where the Supreme Court picked Bush, you got that one right.
I have been reading your blog ever since I heard about it on our local National Public Radio station. I think it is so important for people to hear about the situation from an Iraqi's perspective.
I grieved for you and your wife when you had that awful experience just trying to get away on a vacation. I am glad you are safe. The image of you with your wife sleeping in your lap, and you crying, will stay with me for a long time.
I thank you for this most current post. Statistics can be manipulated, and our current government does that all the time.
I also thank you for your kind remembrance of our civilian casualties on 9/11... and I want you to know that there are many people here who are aware and of the civilian casualties in your country.
Take care, be safe, keep writing.
A cholera epidemic in northern Iraq has infected approximately 7,000 people and could reach Baghdad within weeks as the disease spreads through the country’s decrepit and unsanitary water system, Iraqi health officials said Tuesday. NY Times, 11 Sept 2007.
health officials at the Red Crescent estimate that cases will begin turning up in Baghdad in late September or early October, when temperatures are especially favorable for the growth of the bacteria Vibrio cholerae, which causes the disease by infecting the intestine. ... Dr. Mohsin said that chlorine imports had been severely curtailed as a result of recent insurgent bombs that had been laced with chlorine, which in concentrated form can be deadly.
Dr. Hakki, of the Red Crescent, said that shallow wells contaminated by sewage around Sulaimaniya — which had at least two cholera outbreaks in the decades before the American-led invasion in 2003 — could have set off the epidemic. But problems that have developed since the invasion, like poor control of chlorination levels, have the potential to make this outbreak more dangerous, he said. ... water purification plants themselves could be contaminated with the bacteria.
The preparation Dukoral® is the only cholera vaccine licensed in the UK.
Elsewhere, on a forum, I saw a post dating from 2005 saying that two doses costs less than 20UKP but in the UK it is available only on prescription. However, it must be available in other ways. I would be wary of buying from a web site (it might not actually be Dukoral) but this Canadian one might be OK. There might be sources of Dukoral in the Middle East.
Ramadi isn't the only place to get solar lights.
indigo, Mohammed plans to write about this very subject soon. The vaccine is available in Jordan. People could contribute to the paypal on the website now (upper right hand side) so he can buy vaccine for his family and as many others as the donations will allow. The paypal account is in British pounds, but I did it and it made the conversion to dollars once I followed all the steps. For the US it's confusing, because the site asks for a British county. Leave it blank and don't give up. When the entry fails once submitted, it comes back and asks for an entry for state in the US. It's confusing, but keep trying. If you want to donate in dollars, remember it takes twice as many per British pound.
Lynette, that's great about the solar street lights in Fallujah. One of my friends in Europe said they did a solar panel farm sort of thing in Portugal where he lives part of the year. It produces all the electricity they need for his little village. He said it takes a lot of space and panels, but in the desert, they certainly have space.
anon, did the Bush government really do that during the elections in Iran? If they did, it figures it would backfire. I'm sure they wouldn't have wanted Ahmadinejad to win.
No, we have no power over the Iranian government.
...It was Iran that did it.
The elections took place amidst a serious political crisis that developed due to the January 2004 decision of the conservative vetting body, the Council of Guardians, to ban thousands of candidates from running -- nearly half of the total. A vast number of reformists, including some of their leaders, and particularly members of the Islamic Iran Participation Front (IIPF), were barred from running. In many parts of Iran, there weren't even enough independent candidates approved, so the reformists couldn't form an alliance with them. Out of a possible 285 seats (5 seats are reserved for religious minorities: Christians, Jews, and Zoroastrians), the participating reformist parties could only introduce 191 candidates. Some reformist parties, like the IIPF, announced that they would not vote (although they specially mentioned they are not boycotting the elections); however, some moderate reformists, including President Mohammad Khatami, urged citizens to vote in order to deny the conservative candidates an easy majority.-wikipedia
Hi Mohammed! I just discovered your blog today, and I love it. It is sooo great to hear from some regular citizens in Iraq. I hate the war and I know that truly Iraqis, like lots of people, are great people. I wish all of humanity could see past the prejudices and fix our major social problems. It's not that easy. I hope you and as many as possible know that most Americans aren't bad people and we aren't warmongers either.
Today I saw the protesters speaking out against the wall being built. The photos of them peacefully trying to stop this insanity were so beautiful. They have become some of my favorite pictures of all time and are truly inspiring.
I hope things go well for you, and I will continue to visit your blog.
Kathy B.,
Thank you very much.
Indigo,
thanks for the information , but I inteded to write about the subject , just after giving this post some time.
LJM,
I'm looking for the vaccine till now , I'm not sure about it in Jordan , if I can't buy it from there , I'll try to find it in another neighboring country.
Lynnette,
that's great news to hear.
Brian Barker,
thank you very much and keep visiting.
Withdrawl of US forces should happen because they invaded your country without legal cause or reason. The excuses they gave were lies - there were no WMD's and Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11. BUT you should not be abandoned.
An international effort needs to be made and protective forces put into place (not by your invaders). The US/coalition forces cannot be a presence for good when they fight with no good reason.
Your country has suffered so greatly and the need for resolution is urgent - this has to be a world concern and it has to be done by those working with truth and honour.
I wish you an end to the absurdity, suffering and inhumanity that has been inflicted on you.
Namaste,
Tina Louise
www.armsagainstwar.info
Well, I'm not going to argue about anything!
I'm just going to say Ramadan Kareem! to you and your wife and your family and your country...
Thank you very much Jeff that was very nice of you.
Tina luoise,
That is what I have said in the last section of this post , if I wasn't clear then I'm clearing it up now ; the invasion of Iraq was for false reasons or no reasons at all just for the benifets of the US government , that's the naked truth , this invasion caused uncountable troubles to the Iraqis and American people as well , but what is done is done , I know many have proteseted against the war and you might be one of them but you couldn't stop the war , if you did at that time that would be great , but since the troops are in Iraq and the US government have messed every thing up , and the situation reached the worst levels then it's an obligation to try to make it better , if they leave they should bring international forces , but no country is ready to clean the mess that the US government did , did you understand what I mean?
Iranian invasion is the worst that could happen to Iraq
Hi Mohammed,
Thanks for the clarity - I understand better now and realise we are of similar views.
I just sincerely believe that the solution will not come from the US - I believe an international effort is needed. I wish I knew how to make it happen.
I do protest - daily and at as many events as I can manage as well as letters, petitions and a whole host of utterly useless methods - but I canot stay still and silent so do what I can.
I am in England and am sickened that my tax pays for death and suffering in your country - this makes me a party to it and I refuse to be an accessory to cruel acts.
I wish I knew what would make a difference....until I find what it is, I will keep on with the protesting, writing etc.
I wish you peace.
Namaste,
Tina Louise
http://www.armsagainstwar.info
Bush speech to be given here tonight. The leaked reports are he will say he expects us to remain in Iraq as we've remained in South Korea. In other words, unless Iraq tells us to leave, like every other country we've had bases, we won't be leaving. People here are not happy with this.
Well, I don't know how we could help you. It is obvious that the Shia-extremists are waiting for the US to withdraw in order to get full control. But they are not in a hurry! Because Iran wants the US to bleed out slowly in Iraq.
And then I don't even know if the problem is just the Shia-EXTREMISTS. Because if I would be the Shia Maliki from the Iraqi goverment, I would think that one day, the US will no longer be in Iraq. but Iran, will always be a neighbour of Iraq...
And then I also don't think that the US policies will help you. It is obvious that parts of the Bush administration are delaying everything in order to avoid a clear defeat. On the other side many dsemocrats don't want the war to end now in order to win the elections.
So the losers are the Iraqi people, but also the many young US-Soldiers who are actually fighting a war their country can't win. And who risk everyday to lose arms, legs or even their life... For nothing!(Or maybe Halliburton&Co.)
Sincerely, I am very sad. TAKE CARE.
Petraeus' key argument this week to prove his steering of the Bush-devised "surge" was a "success" was to spin the close collaboration between the occupation and the Shi'ite-dominated Iraqi government in Baghdad on the one side with Sunni tribal leaders in al-Anbar province on the other. Petraeus framed it as if this "sustainable" solution was a huge counterinsurgency success of his own making. Nothing could be further from the truth.
The success story in Anbar is not due to the general's wily ways, but to an Iraqi sheikh: Abdul Satter Abu Risha, the leader of a coalition of tribes, including 200 sheikhs, formed in the autumn of 2006 under the name Anbar Sovereignty Council (now it's called Iraq Awakening). Asia Times, 14 Sept 2007
Abdul Sattar Abu Risha was assassinated yesterday, as were his two bodyguards. He was only 37.
Only last Monday, General David Petraeus told the US Congress that Anbar province showed how Iraq could throw off its violence and move forward - "Today, {Anbar} is a model of what happens when local leaders and citizens decide to oppose al-Qaeda and reject its Taleban-like ideology."
This is the province to which Bridget thinks Mohammed and his wife should move.
By the way, the Asia Times calls Petraeus "the iPod general", ingratiatingly "player of what is fed by his master's voice, the White House."
Dear Mohammed, in the West we often say "people like to believe what they want to believe- they only hear what they want to hear"- this is the situation of Petraeus- puppet of Bush and the Oil Lobby-groups.
We peaceful westerners love and support you- please do not feel hate for us all- direct it to our corrupt leaders.
Stay safe please and do not make your beautiful wife a widow.
Mas Purba- Jakarta Indonesia.
Mohammad,
Thank you for your eyewitness accounts - they illustrate a thousand times more than statistics what life is like for millions of Iraqis across your country.
When I visited your country last year, I saw with my own eyes evidence of Iranian influence in Baghdad and beyond. I wish that the Maliki government and the Bush administration would acknowledge the magnitude of the problem rather than by trying to fit everything into one big al-Qaeda theory.
Baghdad is a beautiful city - and its beauty is evident despite the violence and conjestion that now plagues it. I hope that someday I'll be able to return to a peaceful place and introduce my children to a country and people I have come to love.
Ramadan Kareem to you and your family-
N.
N.,
Yes you are right , I felt when I heard the Petraeus report that he is fooling the Americans and the Iraqis , he was talking AQ and AQ because the major concern of US citizens is with AQ because of the september attacks , but in Iraq many mitias in addition to AQ and on the top of them Iran's Qudos brigade are responsible for the slaughter of iraqis.
I'm glad you liked my country but I wish you could see it before the war , I'm sure you would love it more
The Americans talk repeatedly about fighting "Al Qaeda" in Iraq to continue the deception of why they are REALLY in Iraq.
They are not going to arrest Muqtada al Sadr or go after the Mehdi Army or Badr Brigades because they want Iraqis to be divided and fighting amongst themselves. This once again gives the Americans another reason to remain in Iraq.
Petraeus said what he was told to say.
And I think "Lynette in Minnesota" is a hack for either the administration or some conservative policy "think"-tank. Sounds likes white house talking points to me. At any rate, it's pure sophistry. An ounce of truth and a pound of misdirection and semi-fibs. I, for one, am sick of having the apologists for this war rationalize every terrible situation into sunshine and roses. "Just trust your government, they've got everything under control". They're not rearranging deck-chairs on the Titanic, they're trying to convince us that the current configuration of chairs on the deck is certain to repair the ship, given enough time.
why do the past generations hand down their hatred to the next. It is a blessing that we can choose to live in peace as God has graced us. Why don't they open their eyes and take advantage of this, we are one family a part of the same universe. There is room for everyone. I don't understand why people would choose to live in hell and expect God to bless them.
My sympathy is with you.
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